Subject: US officials suspect Iran behind damaged oil tankers near strategic Strait of Hormuz
Today's mine attacks on two oil tankers may be the spark that demands a U.S. and Arab ally response.
The crisis between the US and Iran started brewing in May 2018 when the Trump administration jettisoned America's participation in the 2015 nuclear deal with the Islamic Republic. Then and gradually over the subsequent months all economic sanctions began to push Tehran's back against the wall. It is clearly hurting and now the mullahs may be striking back.
Evidently a marine mine was found today lodged to the Japanese-owned Kokuka Courageous ship. That mine will provide enough forensic evidence for the US Navy to identify the culprit. Who? Likely Iran's IRGC confirming what many of us believe and echoing Secretary Pompeo's conclusion last month about similar attacks on four other oil tankers.
We know Iran has an extensive inventory of marine mines and the means to rapidly deploy them in the Strait of Hormuz. Further, and this is significant, there is an incentive for Iran to conduct a pre-emptive strike because if the regime were to wait too long those assets - mines and boats for deployment - might not outlive an American precision strike.
Yesterday the Japanese prime minister met with the Iranian president in Tehran. Likely a message was relayed at that meeting from President Trump, one planted two weeks ago when the U.S. leader was in Tokyo. Certainly in the press conference following the Japanese-Iranian meeting sparks did fly.
The deployment of mines in the shipping channel under the cover of darkness might be Tehran's response to Trump's secret message.
Time will tell.
Robert Lee Maginnis
Author of a 2019 book by Defender: Progressive Evil
Author of a 2018 book by Defender: Alliance of Evil